Thursday MLB Betting: Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers (73-51) seek to complete a series sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-67) in the final game of a 4-game series at Miller Park in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

The Brewers have won 3 straight games in this series to add to their impressive 47-15 home record this season, while also improving their current win streak to 6 games as well as posting 19 wins in the last 21 contests. It’s been mainly due to outstanding pitching from the Brewers’ stellar pitching staff, which has posted a 2.16 ERA during the mentioned 21 game span, with the bullpen providing impressive their usual impressive support by not allowing a single run in the past 19 2/3 innings of work.

While the Brewers find themselves at the top of the NL Central division with a solid 7-game lead over the 2nd place St. Louis Cardinals, they certainly know that now is not the time to slack off, with many wins available on the table as their next 11 games come against teams with sub-.500 records.

However, one of the tougher match-ups against a sub-.500 team comes tonight at home, as the Los Angeles Dodgers seek to save some face and avoid a sweep, and their ace Clayton Kershaw (14-5, 2.72 ERA) looks to continue his impressive run down the home stretch this season, going 8-2 with a 1.99 ERA over his last 10 outings. One of the lone bright spots for the Dodgers in a season mired in controversy over ownership and mediocre talent in the roster, Kershaw needs to be on point tonight against a very confident team in the Milwaukee Brewers, who will once again put up Marco Estrada (3-7, 4.46 ERA) as a fill-in starter for the injured Chris Narveson.

Betting lines for Los Angeles vs. Milwaukee at

Clayton Kershaw holds a lot of sway at the top sportsbooks, and commands a favored betting position with -125 odds for a Dodgers win this evening. Marco Estrada however, who comes off a solid 5 inning, no runs allowed performance last week, could be a solid underdog wager behind the surging Brewers, who are +105 underdogs at home today.

No doubt the 7 run over/under total is due to Kershaw’s dominance, as well as the fact that no more than 4 total runs have been scored per game in this series. With the under wager getting -120 odds and the over wager getting EVEN odds, it may be worth chasing the over wager simply in expectation that something has to give offensively, and one team or the other will break through the solid pitching that has been evident in this week’s series.

Our Pick to Win:

While it’s tough to judge whether Marco Estrada can produce back-to-back wins as a starter, his solid recent efforts and strong performances against the Dodgers in relief this season could bode well for him getting the win with the aid of Milwaukee’s bats, who have yet to really break free this series. No doubt Kershaw is an outstanding pitcher, but he’s had less success on the road this season, especially against teams above .500.

Milwaukee pulls through with a 7th straight win this evening at home relying on their stronger batting order headlined by Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder, who should help get them over the hump against Clayton Kershaw.

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