Big MLB Arms to Bet On for 8/28

Tuesday sees some big hurlers take the hill who should be able to not only overwhelm their opponents, but also make you a little scratch if you are looking to play the runlines. Finding success in betting baseball is all about going with the best pitchers, as they are the ones who have the best opportunity to control the game. Here are three games where the starting pitcher makes betting the lines too hard to pass up.

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles

The Sox are 1.5 run favorites even though they are on the road. Why is this? Because Chris Sale is getting the ball for Chicago and he has been short of dominating this season. The O’s have been a pleasant surprise in the AL East this season, as they are currently in position to nab a Wild Card spot, but don’t expect them to do much against Sale, who brings a 2.65 ERA and a 15-4 record into Baltimore, not to mention straight-up nasty stuff. Baltimore’s probable starter Chris Tillman has respectable numbers in 2012 (3.71 ERA, 6-2 record), but his career numbers are less impressive (5.17, 13-17). The game may be low scoring, but Chicago’s homerun heavy lineup should be able to get at least four or five runs across in this one, which will be enough to cover -1.5 behind the arm of Sale.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

Look for Verlander to keep the Royals' bats quiet

Justin Verlander (12-7, 2.50 ERA) hasn’t been getting the run support that he had last year when he won the AL Cy Young Award. However, the Tigers should be able to get hits off his opponent in this one, who is Luis Mendoza (7-9, 4.26 ERA). Verlander is one of those guys that capable of throwing a shutout every time he gets the ball, so it’s hard to bet against him anytime, especially against Kansas City. Another thing to think about is just how good Detroit has been against its AL Central foe KC. The Tigers are 7-1 against the Royals and are 3-0 at Kauffman Stadium. Verlander himself is 9-2 against the Royals at Kauffman, so being on the road certainly won’t rattle the right-hander. Miguel Cabrera will be a game-time decision after sitting out the last two games with a sore right ankle, but he should be available. It will be up to Jim Leyland to play him or not. Either way, Verlander should carry the Tigers, so take Detroit to cover the -1.5 runline here.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

Without Ortiz, Crawford and Gonzalez, the Red Sox will struggle against Weaver

While Verlander and Sale have been having great seasons, the 2012 Cy Young front-runner may be LA’s Jared Weaver and he just so happens to be getting the start on Tuesday as well. Weaver has enjoyed a little more run support, evidenced by his astounding 16-3 record and solid 2.74 ERA. Weaver’s competition tougher than the matchups I mentioned above, as he will square off against Clay Buchholz who is 11-4 with a 4.47 ERA this season. Although Buchholz may hold the Angels bats in check, Weaver will almost certainly be able to shut down the gutted Boston lineup, which is still trying to fill the void caused by the blockbuster trade that sent Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez to the Dodgers. David Ortiz won’t be available either as the Sox put him back on the DL yesterday. Considering the Angels are at home, have their ace on the mound and are going against a Red Sox team that has been called the biggest disappointment in 2012, this should be an easy win for them and you as well if you pick them to cover the -1.5 runline.