With another beautiful NFL Sunday upon us, it’s time to look at this week’s slate of games and determine where the best edges are on the lines and the over/unders for week three. There are plenty of picks that have money-making potential, but here are just a few that I like for today’s NFL contests. Good luck with your wagers in week three!
Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints
Each and every week on the NFL schedule I look for a game like this and jump all over it. The Kansas City Chiefs are obviously one of the weakest teams in the NFL this season, judging on their performance in their first two games, while the Saints are a team that is severely underachieving. Each team is coming into the game with a 0-2 record, but we know New Orleans can’t stay down forever. With the amount of talent they have an offense, they are bound to return to the winning Saints we all know and that will surely happen this week.
Although the spread doesn’t look like the most desirable wager at -9 for the Saints, the moneyline should be a safe play to bet New Orleans. Also, you’ll want to take the over on 53 points in this game. New Orleans should score at least 30 and they’ll probably give up quite a few scores too, considering they currently share the league lead for points allowed after two weeks with 75 given up. They’ll do better against KC, but should still allow 20-30 points.
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos
I love going after the team I consider to be the weakest link, like Kansas City, but I also look for the strongest teams and try to ride their winning coattails. The Texans are certainly one of those teams and they are playing a Denver team that got shellacked last week by Atlanta. Some will shy away from betting this game as Denver is still a bit of a mysterious wild card this season. With Peyton Manning wowing us in week one and then throwing up a dud of a performance last week, we’re still not sure where he is at and if he is the sharp Manning we used to know. However, we do know that the Texans are a solid pick most weeks and with just a -3 point spread against Denver, it seems too good to pass up. Bovada has Houston at +110 on the moneyline, so it appears you can’t go wrong betting either line in favor of Houston to make some dough. Although Denver may keep things close, look for Houston to improve to 3-0.
St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears
The Rams have been able to score points in each of its first two games while the Bears struggled against Green Bay last week. Chicago is still hard to figure out offensively and you’re never sure which Chicago will show up. For this reason, I like the Rams to cover +7.5 points and at +265 on the moneyline, taking St. Louis to win outright wouldn’t be a bad idea either. The Rams are one of the most improved teams so far in 2012 and showed off their offensive potential in last week’s win over the Redskins. They still aren’t getting very much credit on the lines, so look for them to surprise many this week as well as later on down the line.