Why Seattle Worries Me As a Super Bowl Pick

Can Wilson survive the 'Sophomore Slump' and lead Seattle to the Super Bowl?

In 2012, the Seattle Seahawks emerged as one of the up and coming teams in the National Football League. Behind rookie quarterback Russell Wilson and a very athletic and aggressive defense, the Seahawks finished just a half-game behind NFC West rival San Francisco for the division title.

Despite their Wild-Card status, Seattle went into the nation’s capitol and defeated the Washington Redskins before finally dropping a 30-28 decision at Atlanta in the Divisional Playoffs.

The 2013 Seahawks have already garnered a ton of national media attention as an odds-on-favorite to represent the NFC in Super Bowl XLVIII. This declaration comes with good reason.

Seattle returns Wilson and running back Marshawn Lynch and has added former Vikings’ receiver and all-purpose guy Percy Harvin to the mix on offense.

Defensively, the team returns with those big, aggressive corners like Richard Sherman and young pass rush phenoms Bruce Irvins and Bobby Wagner.

The ‘Hawks are still one of the youngest teams in the league and some may see that as a positive but I’m not so sure.

Carroll has high expectations to meet in Seattle in 2013.

Right now, our friends at Bovada have Seattle listed 8-1 to win Super Bowl XLVIII in New York. That ranks third behind the rival 49ers and the Denver Broncos. The Sporting News Pro Football Preview edition has Seattle and Denver playing for the Lombardi Trophy in February.

Bovada also lists the Seahawks over/under win total at 10.5 which is a pretty fair estimate based on their record from last year but how realistic is it?

After Baltimore defeated San Francisco in Super Bowl XLVII, no team saw more futures action for the 2013 season than Seattle. Along with the Redskins, they were the most often selected team to win the title this coming season.

That’s all fine and good but here are my concerns with the this team moving forward.

1. The Schedule Concerns Me – Take schedules for what they first of all. They are on paper and don’t take into account injuries and break-through players that can emerge through the season.

That said, Seattle opens with three of their first five on the road and gets San Francisco at home in week two where the weather shouldn’t be a factor. Those three road games are at Carolina, at Houston and at Indianapolis. They also have away games at Atlanta and at the New York Giants. I can see two to three losses right there.

2. Wilson and the Sophomore Slump – Second-year QB Russell Wilson is not going to sneak up on anyone this season. While defenses will still have to stop him, they know a lot more of what to expect when they see number three on the field.

Wilson is a very level-headed, mature young man but will the attention and pressure get to him or will it get to his receivers? I look for a year not quite as good from Wilson in 2013 as defenses will be prepared.

3. The Adderall Issue – In May, Bruce Irvins became the fifth Seattle player suspended by the NFL for using the drug Adderall which is typically used to treat Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity-Disorder or, ADHD.

He will serve a four-game suspension as will John Moffitt, Allan Barbre, Winston Guy and Brandon Browner. Richard Sherman also tested positive but his situation was over-turned because of a testing technicality. Sherman would later say, “Half the league uses Adderall.”

The issue here is that Seahawks’ players aren’t the only ones using it but they are the currently the team with most guys caught using it. I don’t see this issue going away especially if someone else is nailed.

4. Percy Harvin’s Health – In his four-year career, Harvin has played just one full season. Last year, he missed seven games and in previous season has missed a game or two as well.

Right now the trade for Harvin looks spectacular but if he isn’t on the field it’s a moot point.

The Seattle Seahawks will make the playoffs in 2013. Whether they will win 10 games or more I would probably bet on it, but I don’t like them as my Super Bowl pick especially if they don’t have home-field advantage in the playoffs.