The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Houston Texans in the next to last Thursday Night NFL game of the regular season. This matchup is one that only a bettor would love, as Houston is a favorite on the road laying just a short price. The only thing these two teams are playing for is the right to pick higher in next spring’s NFL Draft.
Houston is 2-10 SU and 3-9 ATS and has lost 10 consecutive games. Their spiral downward has been so steep and sustained that Jacksonville 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS has gone past the Texans into third place in the AFC South.
Two weeks ago, the two met for the first time this season and Jacksonville won 13-6 at Houston, as an underdog by 10 points.
Houston is once against the favored team in the matchup but this time the spread is much closer as Bovada currently has Houston favored by just 3.5 points. It is important to check on the books such as topbet, betonline and sportsbook.com to see the different spreads offered, especially as the opening kickoff approaches.
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU and ATS at home thus far in the 2013 season, while Houston is 0-5 ATS when a favorite.
Topbet currently has the total points at 43.5 but that could change prior to the kickoff tonight.
Jacksonville is 2-0 ATS over the past two games between the two teams, but Houston is 5-1 SU over the past six head-to-head games.
At Jacksonville, the Texans are 2-0 SU and ATS, as the favorite in the past 2 games played there.
This season the OVER is 8-4 for Houston and 7-5 for Jacksonville. However, the first game between the two teams ended with 19 total points going to the UNDER by a large margin.
Houston has not covered two straight games all season and last week they covered a 7-point spread as an underdog but lost outright to New England 34-31.
Houston plays well in the first two quarters outscoring its opponents by 17 points overall this season. However, in the second half the Texans have been outscored by 76 points.
Jacksonville gains fewer yards per play and per game than any other NFL team. The Jaguars are last in the league in scoring, but scored their season high of 32 points last week in their win at Cleveland. However, 15 of the 32 were off turnovers and a safety.
The Jaguars have played terribly at home averaging only 6 points to their opponents 29 and are 0-5 SU and ATS. The Texans have lost 10 straight, but showed signs of turning things towards the better against New England.
Pick: Give the points and take the Texans in a low scoring game.