Public Heavy on Auburn, Look for Sharps to Take Florida State

The NCAA football season will be capped off with the final BCS Championship Game on January 6 when the Auburn Tigers face the Florida State Seminoles at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.

Auburn represents the SEC and that conference will be seeking its eighth consecutive national title. This will be the last of the BCS championships, as next season the NCAA switches to a four-team playoff format to determine the champion.

Online wagering sites such as Bovada are seeing a repeat when it comes to the BCS Championship Game, as the public continues to love Auburn. Representatives from topbet, and betonline all have said how much the public is taking Auburn and the points.

Auburn has created a mystic and intrigue from public bettors due to their two miraculous wins over Georgia and Alabama, followed by their smash mouth football against Missouri.

In the public’s mind, the SEC will never lose and now comes along a line that is giving them huge points. Depending on the book you look at, Florida State is -8 to -9, with a -270/+230 money line.

Some books have stayed with the opening line of 8.5 for Florida State believing that the late money from the public will be for the Seminoles.

By the time the kickoff arrives, most books believe, including Bovada, that sharp money will be firmly behind Florida State.

One insider in the industry said that if sharp money had been interested in the Auburn Tigers they would already have taken them by this time. Sharps know the public will play strongly on Auburn and hope to see the line drop late to 7.5 or even 7 so they can jump on it.

The handle, said staff at topbet should be very significant for Monday’s national championship game. Both schools have very large followings and the matchup looks to be entertaining and a tight battle.

The public also appears to be betting the OVER regardless what the number is. The sharps will at some point take the UNDER, as they do annually said one bookmaker.

Many believe at 65 or 66 that the total number is too high, due to Florida State allowing only an average of 10.7 points per game.

The Seminoles are 8-0-1 ATS over their past nine appearances in bowl games, 12-2-1 ATS over their past 16 games played on neutral sites and 4-1 ATS over their past 5 games versus teams from the SEC.

The Tigers are 7-0 ATS over their past 7 games against teams with a winning record, 11-1 ATS over their past 12 games overall and 8-0 ATS over their past 8 games played on natural grass. The Tigers are just 2-7 ATS versus opponents from the ACC.

The OVER has cashed in 10 of the 13 games FSU has played this season. However, the UNDER has gone 5-1 over the past 6 Florida State games versus teams from the SEC. For Auburn the OVER has cashed in all of their past four games overall, but the UNDER has cashed in 6 of the past 8 bowl games the Tigers have played in.

Pick: I like the Tigers to be close and win ATS, but Florida State SU.