Patriots 0-4 Against the Number in AFC Title Games Since 2005

The NFL season has come down to three games, with four teams left. All four desperately want the coveted Vince Lombardi Trophy but only one will have the right to hoist it high into the air on February 2.

First things first, as this weekend the two conference championships take place.

Here are a few things to consider before deciding on the teams you like this weekend.

  • New England has not covered in an AFC Conference Championship game since Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger was just a rookie in 2005. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS since then. However, New England did have outright wins in two of the four games against San Diego and Baltimore.
  • New England is also the underdog for the first time in the AFC title matchup since 2007 when they face Indianapolis. In that game, Indy covered the 3.5 points they were laying in a 38-34 victory.
  • New England however has dominated Denver the past three years. Since 2011 when John Fox became the Denver coach, the Broncos are 0-4 SU and ATS versus the Patriots. The four games have all cashed to the OVER.
  • San Francisco has played remarkably well on the road this season. In their 10 games on the road, the 49ers have a record of 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS. However, in Seattle they experienced one of their two SU and ATS losses.
  • Over the past four seasons, Seattle has covered in five consecutive games versus the 49ers and is 6-2 ATS. However, over that span, the Seahawks are just 3-5 SU against San Francisco. Nevertheless, in the past two games played in Seattle, the Seahawks have won by large margins.
  • The OVER was the way to play at one time this season cashing out in 21 of the 32 games played in a two-week span in December. However, since Week 16 the UNDER has cashed in 27 of the 40 regular season and postseason games or over 67% of the time. During the postseason, the UNDER has hit in 8 of the 10 games played.

Other NFL News

The Saints opportunity to win could be closing. Drew Brees turns 35 this week. The Saints won their Super Bowl four years ago. New Orleans offense looked anemic versus Seattle and did not score for over three quarters of the game. Consider those things prior to taking the Saints in a futures line.

Many football experts love the way Andrew Luck has played in his first two seasons with Indianapolis, but until the Colts can find a fix for their defense consider them long shots on Bovada, topbet, betonline and for Super Bowl consideration.

Conference Championships

New England vs. Denver

The Broncos remain 4.5-point favorites and the points are at 55

San Francisco vs. Seattle

The Seahawks are 3.5-point favorites and the points are at a low 39.5.