Louisville Favored but is Memphis the Better Team

NCAA men’s basketball is winding down its regular season with important conference games on the schedule as team attempt to get higher seeds for conference tournaments and push to be selected on Selection Sunday for the NCAA tournament.

On Saturday, the Louisville Cardinals 24-4 SU and 14-12 ATS and ranked No. 7 in the nation, attempt to avenge a home loss to the Memphis Tigers 21-7 SU and 13-11-1 ATS and ranked No. 21 in the nation.

The two met in an American Athletic Conference showdown on January 9 with the Tigers as a 10.5-point dog. Memphis was able to pull off the SU upset 73-67 on Louisville’s home court.

Since that loss, the Cardinals, the defending NCAA national champions, have won 11 of 12, including their past 7. They are now peaking just when they need to heading towards the NCAA tournament.

Memphis is on a skid of 1-4 ATS over their past 4 games played. The Tigers were pushed to overtime last weekend against Temple, which is in last place in the conference. The Tigers also struggled to defeat both Central Florida and Rutgers, two weak opponents.

The current line on Bovada, betonline and topbet has Louisville favored by 4.5 points. In the win the first time the two teams played, all five starters for Memphis scored 10 points or more. Prior to the win, betting trends on sportsbook.com showed that Louisville had won four straight in the head-to-head series.

On Bovada, trends to take a look at include the ‘dogs. The underdog has covered the number in 7 of the past 10 games between the two teams. Louisville has covered the spread in 4 of the past 5 games it has played on the road.

Memphis has covered in 11 of its past 14 games after a loss against the spread.

The UNDER has cashed in all four of the past four games Louisville has played on the road.

Memphis has covered the number in 8 of the past 11 games between the two teams. The OVER has cashed in 23 of the past 24 games Louisville has played overall.

This game is a revenge match for the Cardinals. On their current streak of 11 wins in 12 games, the Cardinals are outscoring their opponents by an average of 21 points a game.

However, that will not be done easily against a Memphis club that is so talented. For some odds makers, the better or more talented team is Memphis and the Tigers should be the favorite.

Pick: Memphis and the 4.5 to cover and the OVER.