Seattle (-6) at San Diego (O/U 44.5) – The two former AFC West foes hook up in an inter-conference match-up in Southern California. The Chargers have to bounce back from a tough loss in Arizona last Monday where they surrendered a double-digit lead late in the game. While they are on the short week, the Seahawks have had ten days since they beat Green Bay in the season opener.
Look for the Seahawks to get after Philip Rivers early and for Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch to get the play-action going as soon as they can. San Diego needs to establish a running game if they are to have any chance today.
Trends: The total has gone UNDER in seven of Seattle’s last nine games… San Diego is 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games against Seattle… The Seahawks are 5-1 straight up in their last six games at San Diego…
The Pick: I like the Seahawks to cover today and I like the UNDER.
Houston (-3) at Oakland (O/U 40) – The Raiders and their rookie QB Derek Carr lost a tough game at New York last Sunday and now open their home schedule against a Texans team that beat Washington 17-6. Both teams will look to establish running games in an effort to slow the pass rush. Look for Arian Foster to be a major player today.
Trends: Houston is 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 games… The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland’s last 12 games at home… The Texans are 0-5 straight up in their last five road games… The Raiders are 1-4 straight up in their last five games at home.
The Pick: I love the UNDER today and I like Oakland and the points.
NY Jets (+8) at Green Bay (O/U 46) – The Packers look to bounce back from their loss in Seattle and will have a typically excited crowd in Lambeau Field against a Jets team that could have easily lost at home to the Raiders. I look for Aaron Rodgers to have a big day against a poor Jets’ secondary if the rebuilt offensive line can hold up.
Trends: The Jets are 1-4 straight up in their last five games on the road… Green Bay is 0-4-1 against the spread in their last five games at home… The total has gone OVER in five of the Jets’ last seven games on the road… The Packers are 18-6-1 straight up in their last 25 games at home.
The Pick: Give me the OVER and I like the Packers to cover.
Kansas City (+13) at Denver (O/U 51) – The Chiefs were a mess last week in a loss to Tennessee and now they have to go into Denver facing 0-2 straight in the face. It won’t get any better today.
Trends: The total has gone OVER in five of Kansas City’s last six games on the road… Denver is 5-1 straight up in their last six games against Kansas City… The Chiefs are 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games on the road in Denver… The Broncos are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games at home.
The Pick: Take the OVER but take the Chiefs to getting all those points.
Chicago (+7) at San Francisco (O/U 48.5) – The Bears loss last week at home to Buffalo was demoralizing and now they are banged up at their best position which is receiver. The Niners will take advantage of a poor Chicago defense today.
Trends: The Bears are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games on the road in San Francisco… The 49ers are 9-1 straight up in their last ten games… The total has gone OVER in five of the Bears last seven games against the Niners… San Francisco is 5-0 straight up in their last five games against the Bears at home.
The Pick: I like the OVER and I’ll take the Niners to cover.