A late fall afternoon NFL matchup in Wisconsin could be a prelude to Super Bowl 49 when the New England Patriots visit the Green Bay Packers. Both teams are playing very well, with both playing as well or better than any other team in their respective conferences.
The Packers playing at home are currently 3-point favorites according to Bovada and sportsbook.com.
Taking Green Bay would not be a bad idea since the Packers are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season at Lambeau Field.
In addition, Green Bay on the season is 8-3 straight up and 6-4-1 against the number. According to topbet and betonline, the Packers are 6-1-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
However, New England is a formidable opponent. The Patriots are 9-2 straight up and 7-4 against the spread. As an underdog, the Patriots are almost too good to pass up. New England is 4-0 SU and ATS when playing the role of dogs, including a recent straight up rout of Indianapolis.
The point total has gone as high as 59 but is currently on 58.5, which by NFL standards is very high.
If the total is your play, Green Bay is 9-2 cashing to the OVER and New England is 8-3 to the OVER.
New England has a record of 6-4 ATS as road dog during the regular season against clubs from the NFC, under Bill Belichick their head coach. The Patriots are 5-5 SU in those ten games as underdogs on the road.
Green Bay is 20-14 SU and 20-13-1 ATS versus opponents from the AFC under Mike McCarthy’s tutelage as the Packers head coach.
Overall, under Belichick, the Patriots have won 54.5% of their games as an underdog and are 45-21 ATS as an underdog under Belichick.
However, New England is 0-8 against the number in its past eight games played on natural grass.
The Packers offense will need to solve the tough secondary for New England. The Packers two top wide receivers Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson will have to find a way to get open against Brandon Browner and Darrelle Revis.
New England’s strong running game could take advantage of a poor rushing defense for Green Bay. The Packers are allowing over 136 yards a game on the ground and 4.5 yards per carry.
Two of the best quarterbacks in football will meet in this matchup. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers has a touchdown to interception ratio of 30 to 3. Tom Brady the New England quarterback has 22 touchdowns to 4 interceptions.
The weather will be cold but just light winds are expected so it should not be much of a factor.
Picks: New England has played very well and getting three points is a good line to take.
The score likely will not be as high as the over/under is selling at. I like the Pats and the UNDER.