College Football Playoff Selection Committee Leapfrogs TCU over FSU

The selection committee for the inaugural College Football Playoff released its next to last rankings of the season on Tuesday. At the top Alabama and Oregon remained No. 1 and No. 2 respectively. However, the TCU Horned Frogs not only entered the top four, but also leapfrogged the Florida State Seminoles to No. 3, pushing the Seminoles back to No. 4.

Odds makers according to Bovada and betonline also shorten the odds of TCU and moved the Horned Frogs in front of the Seminoles in the futures for the national championship.

At this point, no one including bettors, bookmakers or the selection committee is impressed with the way Florida State is playing.

The Seminoles might be undefeated, but continue to play Houdini by escaping with last minute or very narrow victories. The team this season lacks in style points and that has caused them be pushed down to No. 4 in the current playoff rankings.

Nevertheless, the Seminoles still are part of the top four, which is all that matters at this point.

According to topbet and sportsbook.com, Florida State is being offered at 10 to 1, which for many will be a great offer for the reigning national champions. The 10 to 1 was lengthened from last week’s 7 to 1 despite the Seminoles winning against Florida 24-19.

During the summer, FSU was the overwhelming favorite on the futures boards and even were double-digit point favorites in all their regular season games.

Some observers feel with the double-digit odds on Florida State to win the national championship that a lot of action would arrive, but that is not the case.

Many odds makers have simply said very little action is on the Seminoles.

This weekend, Florida State will play the ACC Championship game against Georgia Tech. The Seminoles are favored by just 3.5 points against a formidable opponent in Georgia Tech.

Should the Seminoles prevail it likely will be their last game as a favorite, as odds maker would give them the underdog role if they stay in the top 4.

If the top 4 stayed the way it is after next week, then Florida State would face Alabama and is assured to be a double-digit dog.

Current Odds for College Football National Champions

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 5 to 4
OREGON DUCKS 5 to 2
TCU HORNED FROGS 4 to 1
BAYLOR BEARS 8 to 1
FLORIDA ST SEMINOLES 10 to 1
OHIO ST BUCKEYES 15 to 1
MISSOURI TIGERS 25 to 1
WISCONSIN BADGERS 30 to 1
GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS 40 to 1
ARIZONA WILDCATS 40 to 1
KANSAS ST WILDCATS 40 to 1
MISSISSIPPI ST BULLDOGS 100 to 1

Long-Shot Possibilities to Make College Football’s Four-Team Playoff

Cook
Cook
Connor Cook and the Spartans have a favorable schedule in 2014.

On Friday, I gave you the top eight favorites to make the new four-team college football playoff. Today I’m looking at teams that are outside of the favorites that I believe will have a legitimate shot at making the playoff.

The term ‘long-shot’ in college football is used a little differently than in other walks of life. Most of the teams listed below are very viable title contenders but they just aren’t listed among those top eight. Let’s get to it.

Will _____ make the four-team playoff?

Baylor Yes +350, No -600 – The defending Big 12 Champs have Heisman candidate Bryce Petty leading the offense but the question will be how well the defense can play? The schedule is not horrible but they do have to go to both Texas and Oklahoma. If they get wins in both of those locations then the sky’s the limit.

USC Yes +550, No -1,100 – The Trojans enter the Steve Sarkisian Era with high hopes that he can return them to glory. After starting all 14 games last season, Cody Kessler will start again at quarterback. USC will face some tough tests but only Stanford and UCLA are on the road. They get Notre Dame, a bowl-game rematch with Fresno State in the opener and both Oregon State and Arizona State at home. Don’t sleep on this team.

Michigan State Yes +300, No -500 – The defending Big Ten Champions are going to be a very sexy pick despite losing some key players from last year’s team. The Spartans only road tests are at Oregon and at Penn State. They get Michigan, Ohio State and Nebraska at home in East Lansing. Head Coach Mark Dantonio will keep this team competitive.

Richt
Mark Richt and the Bulldogs need a big season in 2014.

Georgia Yes +250, N0 -400 – If the Bulldogs can get past Clemson in the opener and then at South Carolina two weeks later then look out. The rest of the schedule is pretty favorable including the final three game at home and that includes Auburn and Georgia Tech. If the defense improves and the quarterback play is solid then UGA could be there.

South Carolina Yes +400, No -600 – The Gamecocks have to replace Connor Shaw and of course #1 pick Jadaveon Clowney but the cupboard is far from bare. The good news is that SC has four of their first five games at home. The bad news is that they have road games at Auburn, Florida and Clemson in the second half of the schedule. Spurrier always has competitive teams but this one will depend on the QB.

Florida Yes +600, No -1,000 – Frankly I find it embarrassing that the Gators are listed here. This team was brutal last year and while you can point to the loss of QB Jeff Driskel, his injury was far from the only reason the Gators finished under .500 for the first time in many years. Florida should open with three straight wins at home before their first road game which is at Alabama. They also have Tennessee and Florida State on the road. Don’t waste your time on the Gators.

Others I like to make it… Wisconsin – If they can get past LSU in the opener in Houston then the schedule is extremely favorable the rest of the way… Arizona State – Road games at USC, Oregon State and Arizona are tough, but they get Notre Dame, UCLA and Stanford at home. The Sun Devils are a long-shot but they made good strides last year.

Of all the teams above, I like the Michigan State schedule the best and give them the best chance of making the final four.