Previous Super Bowls Evenly Split Between OVER/UNDER

Super Bowl XLVIII is just four days away and both the line and point total has held steady since the point spread flipped on just the first day of betting following the conference championship games two Sunday’s ago.

Denver is currently favored in the game by 2.5 points and anyone remotely close to football and betting can tell you that. In comparison, the point total is not as well known as the point spread and is currently sitting at 47.5 on Bovada. Sites such as topbet and sportsbook.com have the spread at 47.

The first thing bettors look at is the point spread, while the point total is often an afterthought that in reality is a good way to wager in games that are too close to determine a winner with the spread.

The point total is a quite standard number. Including this year’s Super Bowl XLVIII, seven of the past 10 Super Bowls had over/under point totals of 45 to 48.

For some, a point total of 47, which betonline currently has for the Super Bowl, seems like a very low point total for a game involving the Denver Broncos. It should because it is.

Fifteen of Denver’s 18 games played this season have had point totals of 50 or more. A Denver game has not ended with less than 50 points scored since they played Kansas City on November 17.

Because of this, many would think the OVER would be an easy bet. However, do not jump too fast to conclusions. The last five games Denver has played cashed to the UNDER, including its two wins in the postseason.

Adding to the possibility of an UNDER is that only five of the 18 games Seattle has played this season have ended with 48 combined points or higher.

So, you ask yourself, take the UNDER?

There are reasons to consider it. The defense for Seattle is No. 1 in the league. Denver’s defense is no slouch. The weather could factor in with snow, wind and cold.

The latest forecast released by the national weather service has winds of less than 10-mph on Sunday and a slight chance of some form of precipitation.

The Super Bowl has been a tossup as far as point totals in the past. Of the 47 Super Bowls, 46 have had point totals for betting purposes. The first one did not. The point total cannot get any closer in the previous Super Bowls than it currently is with 23 OVER and 23 UNDER.

Over the past six Super Bowls played, the point total has alternated between the OVER and UNDER. However, four of the past five would have ended OVER the 47 total for the current Super Bowl.

In 10 of the last 13 Super Bowls, the teams combined for more second half points than first half points.

You might just consider the OVER for the second half.

Super Bowl XLVIII Trends to Start the Week

Trends are what help bookmakers set their lines and can help the public bettor have a higher percentage chance of winning this Sunday in Super Bowl XLVIII.

Of course, the important thing is deciding what trends are important and which ones might not have much effect on the outcome of the game or your bet.

The Super Bowl has been played since 1967 and in this one pitting the Denver Broncos vs. the Seattle Seahawks might be one of the most evenly matched of the 47 already played.

Identical

Super Bowl XLVIII is the first SB in the past 20 years to have two No. 1 seeds facing off, both teams come into the matchup with 15-3 SU records.

During the regular season, both teams played against the teams from the AFC South. Both teams were 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS.

In the games versus playoff teams during the regular season, Denver finished 6-3 straight up and 5-4 against the spread. Seattle was 4-2 SU and ATS.

Head to head

Denver has a record against Seattle since 1993 of 16-5 straight up and 12-8-1 against the spread.

Seattle is 1-19 SU over its past 20 games against teams from the AFC West who have a .800 or better winning percentage.

Stats Do the Talking

The defense for Seattle is No. 1 overall in the NFL. The Seahawks allow only 284 yards and 15 points per game.

The offense for Denver is No. 1 in the league with 454 yards and 36 points per game averages.

As mentioned in a previous report, this is the sixth time the No. 1 offense has played the No. 1 defense in the Super Bowl. The defense is 4-1 in those matchups.

In addition, the team, with the better overall defense, and in this case it is Seattle, is 39-8 SU in the previous 47 Super Bowls.

However, more recently, the better defensive teams are only 2-5 straight up and 1-6 against the spread over the past seven Super Bowls.

Favorites in the Super Bowl of 5 points or less, in the two-week rest period – bye the first week of the playoffs and the week off before the Super Bowl – are 1-7 SU as well as ATS. Denver is favored by just 2.5 points as of Monday.

Quarterbacks

Both teams have strong quarterbacks. Denver’s Peyton Manning tore up the league’s defenses this season for 55 touchdown passes and just 10 picks. Russell Wilson for Seattle had 26 touchdowns and 9 picks.

Manning led the league in passing and has continued with a high ranking in the postseason, while Wilson’s numbers have fallen during the playoffs.

Manning is 2-2 straight up and 3-1 against the spread versus Seattle. Overall, with Denver, Manning is an impressive 29-7 straight up and 22-12-1 against the spread.

The Broncos are not known for defense, but in 14 games they have held their opponents to 200 passing yards or less, Denver is 12-2 straight up and 10-4 against the spread.

The NFC is 21-11 SU as well as 20-10-3 ATS over the past 32 Super Bowls. Over the past five, the NFC is 4-1 straight up and against the spread.

Soon it will be time to decide which team gets your play.

Denver Broncos Early Trends and Past Super Bowls

The Denver Broncos have been the favorite for their past 30 games and if the line stays, as it is now, the Broncos will be favored for their 31st straight game against the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl 48.

The current line as of Thursday, 10 days prior to the Super Bowl has Denver at -2.5 with the point total sitting on 48. This season in all games including the postseason, the Broncos are 15-3 straight up and 11-7 against the number. The point total has cashed to OVER on 11 games and the UNDER on 7.

There are a number of trends, stats and numbers to consider with Denver in the Super Bowl.

  • Denver has been favored in 30 straight games and only twice have they been favored by fewer than three points.
  • Over the past two seasons, Denver is 9-2 ATS when a favorite by less than 7 points.
  • The past five games played by Denver have cashed on the UNDER and the two games the Broncos have scored the least have been the past two playoff games this season.
  • Denver however has scored at least 26 points in 22 of its past 24 games.
  • As the favorite, Peyton Manning teams have a record of 109-89-6 against the spread. That is over 55%, including the regular and post season.
  • Since Manning started playing for Denver, the Broncos against the number are 22-13 a profitable 63%.
  • Since 2012 when Manning became the starting quarterback, Denver is 15-4 ATS, when they hold opponents to 21 or fewer points.
  • The AFC favorite in the Super Bowl has not covered since 2007 when Indianapolis beat Chicago as a 7-point favorite. In five of the six appearances the Broncos have made in the Super Bowl the games has ended OVER.

Denver’s strength on offense is not a secret as the first eight regular season games went to the OVER on points. However, the defense for Denver has picked up and has not given up over 17 points in its last four games.

With the strength the Broncos have on offense, and with their defense playing better and better each week, laying less than one field goal looks good for many bettors.

However, those opting for the point total will find it a tougher decision. The recent improvement on the Denver defense, the weather forecast and the always-tough Seattle defense could keep this Super Bowl low scoring.

However, Denver has been profitable at 11-7 on the OVER. The worst-case scenario of an UNDER bettor is if the weather is good and the Broncos fall behind in the early going.

In their six prior Super Bowl appearances, the Broncos are 2-4 SU and ATS. The OVER is 5-1 in those same Super Bowls.

Five Previous Super Bowls Have Featured Top Offense vs Top Defense

For all those bettors out there wondering how to go on the Super Bowl, review the history of the Super Bowl. This is a matchup of the league’s top offense against the league’s top defense.

In the 47 previous Super Bowls that has happened on five occasions. The theory is that offense sells the tickets, while the defense wins the championships. The question is will that hold true for Super Bowl 48.

The Denver Broncos have the league’s best offense. The team averaged 37.9 points a game, an NFL record. Seattle has the best defense against scoring allowing only 14.4 points a game.

According to stats found on the Internet, this will be the sixth time in Super Bowl history that the league’s top scoring offense faces the league’s top scoring defense.

With the Super Bowl line only being published for just over two days, the Broncos currently are the favorite by 2.5 points on most betting sites including sportsbook.com, Bovada, topbet and betonline. The total points on the same sites are currently sitting at 48.

If history is any indication in the five previous times the top offense faced the top defense, then Seattle should be favored. The team that had the top defense in those five previous Super Bowls that faced the top offense was 4-1 straight up.

The team with the top defense was 3-0 ATS as the favorite and 1-1 ATS as the underdog.

Three of the five Super Bowls featuring the top offense and top defense have cashed to the OVER in point total. In Super Bowl I no posted total was given.

Here are a few more stats to take into consideration from the five previous Super Bowls featuring the league’s top defense and top offense.

Super Bowl 1

Green Bay defeated Kansas City 35-10. The Packers defense sacked Len Dawson the Chiefs quarterback four times and an interception by Willie Wood put the game on ice. Green Bay owned the top defense that season giving up 11.6 points a game, while the Chiefs averaged 32 points scoring per game.

In Super Bowl 13, The Pittsburgh Steelers owned the league’s best defense and the Dallas Cowboys the best offense. Pittsburgh defeated Dallas 35-31.

The Steelers built an insurmountable lead of 18 points and the famed “Steel Curtain” held Dallas down the stretch. The Steelers covered a 3.5-point spread.

In Super Bowl 19, the San Francisco 49ers defeated the Miami Dolphins. The 49ers owned the best defense and the Dolphins the best offense. The 49ers owned the time of possession with a ground game and kept the Dolphins offense off the field. Dan Marino was sacked on four occasions and intercepted on two, in the game by the 49ers defense.

In Super Bowl 24, the 49ers defeated the Broncos 55-10. San Francisco owned the league’s best offense and it showed. Joe Montana threw for five touchdowns and San Francisco led by 24 point at the half.

The fifth and final Super Bowl similar to this year’s matchup was Super Bowl 25 in which the New York Giants beat the Buffalo Bills 20-19. New York owned the best defense, while Buffalo had Jim Kelly, Thurman Thomas and Andre Reed on the league’s best offense. The game ended on a missed field goal by Buffalo.

The bottom line is that the defense has come out on top more times than not when the top offense faces the top defense in the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Futures change after Week 3

The results of games this past weekend in the NFL caused odds makers to shake up the Super Bowl odds. One of the many surprises to start the NFL season is the unimpressive start of the San Francisco 49ers. After three weeks, the NFC defending Champions are 1-2.

Colin Kaepernick has not impressed like he did last season and the 49ers have a short week this week with a game against division rival the St. Louis Rams on Thursday.

After just three weeks teams not many would think would be undefeated are. The Bears, Chiefs, Dolphins and Saints are all 3-0. New Orleans is starting to gain respect from the online sportsbooks such as Bovada and topbet on the futures for the Super Bowl.

The Saints have jumped up to 10-1 odds and into fourth place. Chicago, after defeating Pittsburgh, moved up to 12-1 from 20-1. Kansas City defeated Philadelphia in Philly and has moved to 20-1 from 25-1 on topbet, sportsbooks.com and other online sporstbooks. Miami, even though they remained undefeated by defeating the Falcons last week, saw their odds lengthened for the Super Bowl.

In Texas, the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys are each 2-1, but the Cowboys have played much better than the Texans have. Dallas defeated a woeful New York Giants in week one. They defeated the Rams in week 3, while losing by just a point to the Chiefs.

Meanwhile, the Texans should be considered lucky to have a record of 2-1 and their weaknesses on both sides of the ball were exposed Sunday in their loss to Baltimore.

Both Dallas and Houston are listed on the Super Bowl futures at 20-1, but Dallas is slowing moving up, while Houston’s odds have doubled over the past week.

The top three NFC teams from last season – Atlanta, Green Bay and San Francisco – have started the season on a bad note all are 1-2. The most surprising is the Niners, who have scored just 10 points combined in the last two games.

Pittsburgh, New York (Giants) and Washington are now all 100-1 for the Super Bowl as they are a combined 0-9.

As it stands now these are the top five in for the Super Bowl Futures.

  1. Broncos – 7-2
  2. Seahawks – 7-2
  3. Patriots – 8-1
  4. 49ers – 10-1
  5. Saints – 10-1

Top Five Teams Entering the 2013 NFL Season

The NFL season is days away and these five teams will have the best shot at playing for and possibly lifting  the Vince Lombardi Trophy in early February.

Denver Broncos

Last season Denver finished 13-3 in its first season with Peyton Manning under center. Most online books including Bovada have the Broncos as the favorite to win this season’s Super Bowl with Manning returning in top form and new additions to the lineup.

The Broncos added Wes Welker to their receiving corps. His acquisition may have just rounded out the offense.

However, they have had a hiccup or two on defense with injuries to key players and the Von Miller the All Pro linebacker’s suspension. Nevertheless, they were and still are the class of the AFC.

New England

Last season the New England Patriots finished 12-4 and led the league in total offense. The Patriots have made the postseason in all but one of the past 10 seasons and sportsbooks such as Topbet have made them the favorite for the AFC East title.

Their troubled offseason with Aaron Hernandez being arrested for murder has been a distraction but any time Tom Brady is on the field of play, the Patriots have a chance to win the game.

Welker got away from them and Rob Gronkowski their all world tight end is still trying to overall nagging injuries, including back surgery.

Look for the Patriots to be their deep in the postseason with a possible matchup between them and the Broncos for the AFC Title.

Seattle Seahawks

The NFC West has two of the top five teams in football and one of them is the Seattle Seahawks. Last season they finished 11-5 and will attempt to win the first Super Bowl of their franchise this season.

With Russell Wilson at quarterback, they have a dual run/pass threat and a top-flight running back in Marshawn Lynch.

Defensively the Seahawks have the best secondary in football led by Richard Sherman.

Injuries have slowed the defensive line a bit but by the second or third game, the defense will be back to top form.

San Francisco 49ers

The other great team in the NFC West is the San Francisco 49ers who finished last season 11-4-1.

Colin Kaepernick gives San Francisco an equally great of better run/pass option than Seattle. Odds are against the 49ers as they lost the Super Bowl last season and only two teams in the history of the game have returned to win the Super Bowl the following season.

The 49ers own one of the league’s best defenses led by Patrick Willis at linebacker. They will be without starting wide out Michael Crabtree, but offseason acquisition Anquan Boldin a veteran possession receiver will help.

Green Bay Packers

Last season the Green Bay Packers finished 11-5. At the start of each season, the Packers always come up when the Super Bowl is discussed thanks to quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

The Pack re-signed Rodgers to a long deal and retained his three receivers Randall Cobb, James Jones and Jordy Nelson making them a solid threat to win the NFC North and reach the NFC Championship.

Green Bay has been in the postseason all of the past four seasons with a Super Bowl win in 2011.

Top 10 Quarterbacks Starting the 2013 NFL Season

The NFL loves to entertain and behind a great deal of that entertainment are the quarterbacks that stand over center direct the offenses and make incredible throws across the middle, over the top and down the sideline.

Ranking the top ten quarterbacks heading into the 2013 season is a tough proposition, but here they are.

  1. Aaron Rogers: The Green Bay quarterback has the arm strength, patience and mind that has placed him on the top of the list. Having a Super Bowl title under his belt does not hurt either. His consistently high completion percentage and touchdown to interception ratio separates him from his peers.
  2. Peyton Manning: Manning sat out the entire 2011 season and started the 2012 with the Denver Broncos after playing his entire career before that, in Indianapolis. A future member of the Hall of Fame, he did not disappoint leading his team on an 11-game winning streak. With the additional of Wes Welker this season, Manning’s numbers could go up even more.
  3. Tom Brady has three Super Bowl rings and had another superb season in 2012 running the Patriots hurry up offense. However, this season there are some questions marks the team is facing at wide receiver, tight end and other skills positions. Nevertheless, do not expect anything less than 30-plus touchdowns from Brady and another playoff run.
  4. Drew Brees: What would the New Orleans offense be without Drew Brees? His season last year was impressive numbers wise, even though the team was mired in the Bounty Scandal and could not stop opponents defensively. Look for him to have another strong season, as his head coach will be back on the sidelines.
  5. Ben Roethlisberger: One of the toughest quarterbacks to ever play, he will not have Mike Wallace to throw to deep his season. However, with his talent of looking over the middle and dumping it off to tight ends and running backs, look for the Steelers to re-group and come out strong, as long as he can remain healthy.
  6. Eli Manning: Manning has two Super Bowl titles under his belt but struggled last season. The team did not reach the playoffs, but with Victor Cruz signing an extension and Hakeem Nicks healthy, Manning should have a good season.
  7. Matt Ryan: The Atlanta Falcons have had very good success the last few years during the regular season. However, for Ryan to move to the next level he needs to win postseason games. The team has some of the best talent on offense in the league, but Ryan needs to win a Super Bowl to cement his legacy.
  8. Russell Wilson: The second-year quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks was one of the biggest and best surprises in the league on 2012. He led the Seahawks to the postseason in his rookie season. The team has been listed as a Super Bowl contender this season. Seattle will go as far as Wilson can take them.
  9. Joe Flacco: The quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens won a Super Bowl last season earning MVP honors for the game. Even though his numbers are not always the best, he can now be mentioned along with the Roethlisberger’s and Manning’s.
  10. Robert Griffin III: The sensation from the Washington Redskins will be coming off a tough injury he suffered at the end of his rookie season. He led the Redskins to their first postseason since 2007. His numbers were impressive for a rookie and this season will be a true test of his talents.

Updated Odds for 2014 Super Bowl Winner

With the start of the NFL season just 34 days away, most fans are preparing their grills and coolers for Thursday, Sunday and Monday Night Football.

The season will start the first week of September, but odds makers already have released the odds for a Super Bowl winner.

Following the draft and free agency, odds makers have re-released their lines and Bovada has the San Francisco 49ers as the odds on favorite to win the title.

With the majority if not all acquisitions completed and teams in training camp, the NFL preseason schedule starts next week.

Since this past Super Bowl on February 3, there has been a great deal of player movement, which changed the betting odds on sites like betonline and topbet as well.

San Francisco leapfrogged the New England Patriots as the favorite. Reasons for that were the Patriots lost Wes Welker to free agency and Aaron Hernandez to a murder charge.

San Francisco has been given a line of 6/1 by Bovada to win it all next February in Super Bowl 48.

In the AFC, the Denver Broncos are the favorite to play in the Super Bowl and second in the league in odds to win it all at 13/2.

Peyton Manning added ex-Patriot Wes Welker to his arsenal of receivers, but defensively the team lost Elvis Dumervil to free agency when he signed with Baltimore.

Even though New England’s odds fell from first to fourth behind the aforementioned 49ers, Broncos and in third place the Seattle Seahawks, the biggest title contender to free fall during the summer was the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Steelers saw their odds on Bovada fall from 18/1 all the way to 28/1. That was due in part to losing Rashard Mendenhall who signed with the Arizona Cardinals and Mike Wallace who is now a Miami Dolphin. Pittsburgh also did not acquire any big name free agents.

The New York Jets have dropped from 66/1 to 100/1 and some feel their record will not even match last season’s dismal 6-10, especially if rookie quarterback Geno Smith is the starter.

There is always a team at the bottom and this season there are two tied for that auspicious spot. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Oakland Raiders have the highest odds of winning the Super Bowl in February at 200/1.

Other notables include Seattle at 8/1, New England at 9/1, the Green Bay Packers at 12/1, the Atlanta Falcons at 14/1 and the defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens at 22/1.

Super Bowl Sunday Betting Tips

Welcome to Super Bowl Sunday. Finally.

After a story-rich season that provided surprise after surprise, the NFL finally reaches its marquee game. It’s taken 22 weeks to get here, but now the 75,000– I would say fans but let’s face it, the corporate numbers eliminates the use of that particular term – in attendance and the millions of TV viewers get the chance to hear Alicia Keys belt out the national anthem, Beyonce shake her rump at halftime whilst lip-syncing (possibly), and those $4 million commercials.

Oh and there’s also the small matter of the game between Baltimore and San Francisco.

Welcome to Super Bowl XLVII: the event, the spectacle, the game nobody can pick.

It’s been a long time since a Super Bowl winner was this hard to pick. Ordinarily, there’s a decisive advantage for one team. That team might not live up to that advantage, but there’s an advantage nonetheless. But this year…

Trying to separate the Niners (the team of the stats) and the Ravens (the team of destiny) has been a nightmare. Numbers (they never lie, you know?) favor San Francisco, but Baltimore has been on a crusade to upset everybody this postseason.  Then there’s history. Three of the last five Super Bowls have gone to the underdog. It’s becoming common place to expect the unexpected.

So, who do you pick?

If you’ve waited this long to pick your side, fear not. You’re not the only one. For now, let’s see what Casino Review can conjure up for you.

 

Opening Lines

Two weeks ago, the line opened with San Francisco as the favorite, with the spread at 5. The total opened at 49.

 

Current Lines

Sunday morning sees the spread at four with most bookies, although Bet Online has it at 3.5. The total is 47.5 with most online sites, although Bovada has it at 48.

 

Betting Straight Up

Statistically speaking, San Francisco (11-4-1, 2-0 postseason) has a slight advantage when it comes to the numbers.

Offensively, the Niners compiled more total yards this season, including a whopping 155.7 rushing yards per game (4th in the league). Towards the end of the season – the part where Colin Kaepernick took over quarterbacking duties – the Niners really started putting numbers up.

Baltimore (10-6, 3-0 postseason) was no offensive slouch though. The Ravens outranked the Niners in passing yards and points per game, although the one tenth of a point difference proved these sides would need a well-oiled crowbar to separate them.

These trends have continued during the postseason, although San Francisco has scored 6½ more than the Ravens.

Defensively, San Francisco was a juggernaut. The side limited teams to just 17.1 points per game, second to only Seattle in the regular season. It was the sort of defense we’ve come to expect of Baltimore, only this year’s Baltimore side was middle of the pack when it came to defense. Until this postseason.

Baltimore has allowed just 19 points per game in its three playoff games, while San Francisco has allowed 27.5. It appears that the feared Baltimore defense (and Ray Lewis) turned up at just the right time.

Historically speaking, San Francisco has been to five Super Bowls and won all five. That includes Super Bowl XXIV (Jan. 28, 1990), a game in which the Niners defeated Denver 55-10 at the Super Dome in New Orleans, making for the most lopsided in Super Bowl history.

Baltimore has made one Super Bowl appearance, defeating the New York Giants 34-7 at Super Bowl XXXV (Jan. 28, 2001). One team’s undefeated Super Bowl streak is coming to an end tonight.

Baltimore currently owns a three-game winning streak over San Francisco, with the average game score coming out at 19-6. Some would argue that Baltimore hasn’t faced the 49ers side currently on show, and in terms of the Kaepernick offense, that’s true, but remember: the Ravens took down the Niners last season (Nov. 24, 2011) 16-6. Add to that the fact that San Francisco has only beaten Baltimore once (Nov. 17, 1996; a team that included Steve Young and Jerry Rice) and you have an historical advantage for Baltimore.

Want the waters to get even murkier?

Consider that the NFC representative has the superior record (23-19 since 1970 merger) in the Super Bowl, has won three straight, and is 18-5 when beginning the game as favorite, you surely have to come down in favor of the Niners, right?

But then again, the underdog has won four of the last five Super Bowl games and eight of the last 11. Add to that, the AFC has gone 9-6 in the Super Bowl since snapping a 13-game losing streak in 1998 and things suddenly look to be favorable to Baltimore.

See what we mean by impossible to pick?

And all of this without considering those unfathomable anomalies: will Ray Lewis win a Super Bowl in his final season? Will Colin Kaepernick finish off a fairy tale story? Will an injury play a part? Which Harbaugh brother has the advantage? Or any number of other factors that could impact the game.

So your pick essentially becomes a tossup. Which brings us to…

Take: BALTIMORE – There’s just something about this team that draws you to it. Huge underdog wins against Denver and New England, as well as experience, gives the Ravens a slight edge. An almost indecipherable edge in all fairness, but this just seems like the Ravens’ year now. It certainly didn’t earlier in the year.

 

Betting Against the Spread

Picking Baltimore means we’re automatically taking the side to cover the spread. But if you still inching towards San Francisco, here’re the numbers you need to know.

San Francisco was 9-7-0 against the spread during the regular season. The Niners covered the spread in both playoff games also.

Baltimore recorded a 6-9-1 tally against the spread during the regular season, but the Ravens have gone on to cover the spread in all three postseason games, including two as the underdog.

Historically, the favorite is 26-18-0 against the spread. On only six occasions has the favorite won the game and failed to cover. The favorite is 5-3-1 ATS when the Super Bowl is played in New Orleans. Those are advantages that favor San Francisco, and well worth considering if you’re going to take the Niners straight up.

In this instance, we’re taking Baltimore to be the 14th underdog to cover and win outright.

Take: BALTIMORE – By default.

 

Betting the Total

The total is a really bitch to predict. Consider this; the total has gone over in 22 Super Bowls and under in 23. The more keen-eyed of you will realize that only equates to 45 of the 46 Super Bowl games. Well, there was no total in the first Super Bowl.

During the regular season, San Francisco was 10-6-0 in favor of the total going over. The total has also gone over in both games involving the 49ers this postseason. All told, San Francisco has seen the total go over 66.7 percent of the time.

Meanwhile, Baltimore was 8-7-1 in favor of the over during the regular season. This postseason has seen two Ravens games (vs. Indianapolis, at New England) go under, with one (at Denver) going over. All told, the Ravens have seen the total go over 47.4 percent of the time, the same as it has gone under.

Take: UNDER – Both teams may have favored the over this season but the two defenses take the field in New Orleans can shut a game down. The two previous playoff rounds have seen the total go over in all games, which suggests the under is about to rear its ugly head. There’s a historical presence here also: six of the nine Super Bowl games played in the Big Easy have seen the total go under. Meanwhile, six of the last eight Super Bowls have also seen the total go under. Smart bettors should be thinking knockdown, drag out affair, not offensive spectacle.

 

So there you have it. Now all that’s left to do is sit back and enjoy the final football game of the season.

Denver Remains Atop NFL Futures

Bookmakers currently expect Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos to replicate John Elway's success in Super Bowl XXXII and XXXIII.

Ahead of this weekend’s divisional round of playoffs, the Denver Broncos remain favorites with bookmakers to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy on Feb. 3.

Having enjoyed a bye week during the wild-card round of playoffs, Denver (13-3) has been given odds of 11/4 to win Super Bowl XLVII, marking the fourth straight week the side has seen its odds shorten.

Meanwhile, the Broncos are considered 11/10 to win the AFC, something they can achieve by defeating Baltimore this weekend and the winner of New England-Houston next weekend.

New England (12-4) is nipping at the Broncos’ heels on the NFL Futures list.

Having also enjoyed a bye last weekend, the Patriots have been given 7/2 odds of winning the Super Bowl. The number represents the team’s shortest odds since topping the list at 3/1 following Week 14.

The Patriots are considered 7/5 to represent the AFC in New Orleans on Feb. 3.

With Denver and New England topping the list, it is left to Baltimore (11-6) and Houston (13-4) to prop up the NFL Futures, where odds makers have little faith in the two sides.

Both the Ravens and Texans have been handed 18/1 odds of lifting the Lombardi trophy, and 9/1 odds of even making the big game.

What’s more, both opened as 9½-point underdogs ahead of this weekend’s divisional playoffs. The spread in both games has risen to 10 as bettors come down in favor of the home sides.

Over in the NFC, both Green Bay (12-5) and San Francisco (11-4-1) find themselves with 6/1 odds to win the Super Bowl.

Bookmakers prefer the 49ers chances this weekend though, giving Jim Harbaugh’s side a three-point edge heading into the two meeting on Saturday at Candlestick Park.

This advantage on the lines has translated to a marginal advantage on the NFC Futures list. San Francisco has odds of 11/5 to win the NFC, whilst Green Bay is considered 3/1.

This weekend’s other NFC clash features Seattle (12-5) and Atlanta (13-3), two teams that have been assigned 7/1 odds of winning the Super Bowl.

Atlanta opened as a three-point favorite on the game line, with 12/5 odds (second in the conference) of winning the NFC. Pundits haven’t exactly been silent in their support of the underdog Seahawks in this one, but Bovada is reporting that bettors are showing a slight lean in favor of the Falcons.

Bovada has also put together odds of the exact matchup that will take place in New Orleans.

Currently, based on Futures standings, the favorite Super Bowl matchup is Denver vs. San Francisco (11/2), a rematch of Super Bowl XXIV held in 1990 at the Super Dome in New Orleans. For the record, the Niners took that game 55-10.

Next on the list is a rematch of Super Bowl XXXIII, pitting Denver against Atlanta. Odds of this particular matchup currently stand at 6/1.

Other potential Super Bowl rematches include: Denver vs. Green Bay (Super Bowl XXXII), which sits at 7/1; and New England vs. Green Bay (Super Bowl XXXI), another game that took place in the Big Easy. That one ended 35-21 in favor of the Packers. Odds of this latter matchup currently stand at 8/1.

For a full list of odds on each potential matchup, see below.

 

Odds to Win Super Bowl XXXVII

Denver Broncos (11/4)

New England Patriots (7/2)

Green Bay Packers (6/1)

San Francisco 49ers (6/1)

Atlanta Falcons (7/1)

Seattle Seahawks (7/1)

Baltimore Ravens (18/1)

Houston Texans (18/1)

 

Odds to win the 2013 AFC Championship   

Denver Broncos (11/10)

New England Patriots (7/5)

Houston Texans (9/1)

Baltimore Ravens (9/1)

 

Odds to win the 2013 NFC Championship   

San Francisco 49ers (11/5)

Atlanta Falcons (12/5)

Green Bay Packers (3/1)

Seattle Seahawks (13/4)

 

2013 Super Bowl XLVII Matchup     

Denver Broncos vs. San Francisco 49ers (11/2)

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons (6/1)

New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers (13/2)

Denver Broncos vs. Green Bay Packers (7/1)

New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons (7/1)

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks (15/2)

New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers (8/1)

New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks (9/1)

Houston Texans vs. San Francisco 49ers (30/1)

Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons (30/1)

Baltimore Ravens vs.  San Francisco 49ers (30/1)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons (30/1)

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers (35/1)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers (35/1)

Houston Texans vs. Seattle Seahawks (40/1)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks (40/1)